Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 47.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Granada had a probability of 24.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Granada |
47.51% ( -0.03) | 27.58% ( -0.03) | 24.91% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 44.48% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.77% ( 0.15) | 60.23% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.58% ( 0.12) | 80.41% ( -0.12) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.54% ( 0.06) | 25.46% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.71% ( 0.08) | 60.29% ( -0.07) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.67% ( 0.15) | 40.32% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.05% ( 0.13) | 76.95% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Granada |
1-0 @ 14.04% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 47.51% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.32% Total : 24.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |