Segunda Division | Gameweek 40
May 13, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
Granada2 - 0Lugo
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Granada and Lugo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Granada
Friday, May 5 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Friday, May 5 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Lugo 2-2 FC Andorra
Sunday, May 7 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Sunday, May 7 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 72.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 9.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.73%) and 3-0 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Granada in this match.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Lugo |
72.03% ( 0.27) | 18.64% ( -0.11) | 9.32% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 38.41% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.04% ( 0.01) | 50.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.17% ( 0.01) | 72.83% ( -0.01) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.18% ( 0.08) | 12.82% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.85% ( 0.17) | 39.15% ( -0.17) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.05% ( -0.34) | 55.94% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 11.56% ( -0.2) | 88.44% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
Granada 72.03%
Lugo 9.32%
Draw 18.64%
| Granada | Draw | Lugo |
| 2-0 @ 15.13% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 14.73% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 72.03% | 1-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( -0)2-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.64% | 0-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.47% Total : 9.32% |
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3.15pm
Mar 3, 2018 7pm
