Segunda Division | Gameweek 37
Apr 23, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio Anxo Carro
Lugo0 - 2Malaga
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Malaga.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Real Oviedo 2-1 Lugo
Saturday, April 15 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Saturday, April 15 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Malaga 1-0 Cartagena
Sunday, April 16 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Sunday, April 16 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.28%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Lugo win was 1-0 (12.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugo | Draw | Malaga |
33.06% ( -0.94) | 30.05% ( -0) | 36.88% ( 0.95) |
| Both teams to score 41.88% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
