Segunda Division | Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda
Malaga3 - 2Lugo
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Lugo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leganes 1-0 Malaga
Wednesday, October 12 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Wednesday, October 12 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Lugo 0-1 Las Palmas
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 44.68%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 26.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Lugo |
44.68% ( -0.09) | 28.95% ( 0.01) | 26.37% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 42.1% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.19% ( 0.02) | 63.8% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.95% ( 0.01) | 83.04% ( -0.01) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( -0.04) | 28.58% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.63% ( -0.05) | 64.37% ( 0.05) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.95% ( 0.08) | 41.05% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.4% ( 0.07) | 77.6% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Malaga 44.68%
Lugo 26.36%
Draw 28.94%
| Malaga | Draw | Lugo |
| 1-0 @ 14.69% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 1.53% Total : 44.68% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.73% 2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.94% | 0-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 1.26% Total : 26.36% |
Head to Head
May 28, 2022 5.15pm
Oct 23, 2021 7.30pm
Apr 4, 2021 5.15pm
Lugo
0-1
Malaga
Valentin (55'), Venancio (82'), Rama (90+1')
Nov 27, 2020 8pm
Jun 23, 2020 6.30pm
