Segunda Division | Gameweek 5
Sep 10, 2022 at 1pm UK
Estadio Anxo Carro
Lugo1 - 2Alaves
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Alaves.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Zaragoza 1-2 Lugo
Sunday, September 4 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Sunday, September 4 at 8pm in Segunda Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Eibar | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Lugo | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Real Oviedo | 4 | 1 | 7 |
Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Las Palmas
Saturday, September 3 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Saturday, September 3 at 1pm in Segunda Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Sporting Gijon | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | Alaves | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Burgos | 4 | 2 | 8 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.56%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (12.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugo | Draw | Alaves |
38.11% ( -0.02) | 29.98% ( -0) | 31.91% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 41.87% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.73% ( 0.02) | 65.27% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.92% ( 0.01) | 84.08% ( -0.01) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.87% | 33.13% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.27% ( 0) | 69.73% ( 0) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.62% ( 0.02) | 37.38% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.83% ( 0.02) | 74.16% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Lugo 38.11%
Alaves 31.9%
Draw 29.97%
| Lugo | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 13.68% 2-0 @ 7.56% ( -0)2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.11% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 12.38% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.97% | 0-1 @ 12.18% 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0)0-2 @ 6% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 31.9% |
