Real Oviedo

2 - 1

Lugo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 51.78%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.83%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.