Sporting Gijon

3 - 1

Lugo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 54.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 19.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.