La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 13

Nov 11, 2023 at 1pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 2
Girona

Garcia (5')
Garcia (44')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dovbyk (42'), Savio (65')
Gutierrez (13'), Martin (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 0-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, November 5 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Girona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Osasuna 2-4 Girona
Saturday, November 4 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Rayo Vallecano 2-3 Girona

Girona have won just one of their last eight competitive meetings with Rayo, but while we expect Saturday's contest to be a closely-fought affair, the visitors continue to demonstrate that they have the firepower to beat almost any team in the division, and we believe they will do enough to claim three more points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Girona
34.27% ( 0.05)	25.82% ( 0.16)	39.91% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 54.58% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.39% (

-0.69)

49.61% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.37% (

-0.62)

71.63% (

0.62)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.3% (

-0.3)

27.7% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.74% (

-0.38)

63.26% (

0.38)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.49% (

-0.42)

24.51% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.03% (

-0.59)

58.97% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 34.27%

Girona 39.91%

Draw 25.81%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Girona
1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 34.27%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.91%