Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 47.32%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Girona had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.39%) and 1-2 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.95%), while for a Girona win it was 1-0 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.