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La Liga | Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Real Madrid logo

Girona
0 - 3
Real Madrid


Garcia (64'), Stuani (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Joselu (17'), Tchouameni (21'), Bellingham (71')
Arrizabalaga (84'), Rudiger (90+5')
Nacho (90+4')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Girona and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Girona and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Girona.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Girona.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 1-2 Girona
Wednesday, September 27 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Girona 2-2 Real Madrid

This is a very, very difficult match to call, and we changed our minds a couple of times before settling on a draw. Real Madrid are the favourites, but Girona's form has been excellent this season, and the Catalan side have also enjoyed their recent meetings with the capital giants, so the spoils could be shared here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Girona had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
GironaDrawReal Madrid
30.69% (0.537 0.54) 25.34% (0.221 0.22) 43.97% (-0.75899999999999 -0.76)
Both teams to score 54.89% (-0.458 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.35% (-0.721 -0.72)48.64% (0.72 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.24% (-0.661 -0.66)70.76% (0.66 0.66)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.46% (0.0039999999999907 0)29.54% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.44% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)65.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (-0.655 -0.66)22.09% (0.653 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.55% (-0.994 -0.99)55.44% (0.992 0.99)
Score Analysis
    Girona 30.69%
    Real Madrid 43.97%
    Draw 25.34%
GironaDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 7.96% (0.235 0.23)
2-1 @ 7.33% (0.076 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.85% (0.144 0.14)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.97% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 30.69%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.52% (0.191 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 9.85% (0.099 0.1)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.44% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.57% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.75% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 43.97%

How you voted: Girona vs Real Madrid

Girona
19.5%
Draw
25.6%
Real Madrid
54.9%
133
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Girona
4-2
Real Madrid
Castellanos (12', 24', 46', 62')
Junior (34'), Vazquez (85')
Oct 30, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 12
Real Madrid
1-1
Girona
Junior (70')
Stuani (80' pen.)
Feb 17, 2019 11am
Jan 31, 2019 8.30pm
Jan 24, 2019 8.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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