Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 49.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 24.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Mallorca |
49.02% ( 0.07) | 26.58% ( -0.02) | 24.39% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 46.65% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.81% ( 0.03) | 57.19% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.95% ( 0.03) | 78.05% ( -0.02) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.6% ( 0.05) | 23.4% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.61% ( 0.07) | 57.39% ( -0.06) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.91% ( -0.03) | 39.09% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.19% ( -0.02) | 75.8% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 13.28% 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 49.02% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0) Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 1.47% Total : 24.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |