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La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Rayo Vallecano logo

Sevilla
2 - 2
Rayo Vallecano

Sow (50'), En-Nesyri (90+6')
Gudelj (36'), Sow (45+3'), Suso (67'), Navas (84'), Jordan (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Valentin (21'), Garcia (26')
Hernandez (74'), Perez (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 2-2 Sevilla
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Mallorca
Saturday, September 30 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 2-1 Rayo Vallecano

Sevilla are struggling to win at the moment, but they are not losing many, and there is certainly enough quality in the squad for the team to rise up the table in the coming weeks. Rayo will be the fresher of the two sides, but we are expecting the hosts to navigate their way to an important win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 50.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 22.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawRayo Vallecano
50.82% (-0.284 -0.28) 26.3% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 22.88% (0.243 0.24)
Both teams to score 45.92% (0.153 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.64% (0.061999999999998 0.06)57.36% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.82% (0.049000000000003 0.05)78.18% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)22.67% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.69% (-0.147 -0.15)56.31% (0.145 0.14)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.38% (0.271 0.27)40.62% (-0.273 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.79% (0.246 0.25)77.21% (-0.249 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 50.81%
    Rayo Vallecano 22.88%
    Draw 26.3%
SevillaDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 13.66% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 10.14% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.02% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 50.81%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.21% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.041 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.74% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 22.88%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano

Sevilla
88.0%
Draw
6.0%
Rayo Vallecano
6.0%
50
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2023 3.15pm
Oct 29, 2022 5.30pm
Mar 13, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 28
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Sevilla
Bebe (46')
Iraola (74')
Delaney (63')
Ocampos (59')
Aug 15, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 1
Sevilla
3-0
Rayo Vallecano
En-Nesyri (19' pen.), Lamela (55', 79')
Idrissi (45+5')

Zidane (16')
Apr 25, 2019 6.30pm
Gameweek 34
Sevilla
5-0
Rayo Vallecano
Promes (55'), El Haddadi (57', 62'), Ben Yedder (69'), Gil (86')
Banega (31')

Galvez (33'), Angel Pozo (52')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Wednesday, June 26
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania41215
Q Slovakia Slovakia41215
Q Belgium Belgium31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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