We said: Elche 1-2 Girona
Should Girona rotate their starting lineup after their demanding victory against Atletico less than 72 hours prior to this cup fixture, Elche's chances of causing an upset will clearly increase.
However, the visitors have serious momentum at the moment and may fancy adding a cup run as another string to their bow this season. Their victories rarely come easily, and Saturday's trip to Elche could prove to be more of the same.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Girona had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.