La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 21

Jan 20, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Duro (61')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (56'), Vivian (90'), Ares (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valencia 1-3 Celta Vigo
Wednesday, January 17 at 7pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves
Tuesday, January 16 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Valencia 2-2 Athletic Bilbao

Five of the last seven La Liga meetings between these two sides have finished level, and we can see another draw here. Athletic are on an impressive winning run, but Valencia's form has also been excellent, and we are finding it difficult to separate the teams in what could be an entertaining clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 25.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.24%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
25.25% ( 0.29)	26.06% ( 0.13)	48.69% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 48.92% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.36% (

-0.29)

54.64% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.02% (

-0.24)

75.97% (

0.24)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.09% (

0.09)

36.91% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.3% (

0.09)

73.69% (

-0.09)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.53% (

-0.31)

22.47% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.98% (

-0.46)

56.01% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Valencia 25.25%

Athletic Bilbao 48.69%

Draw 26.06%

Valencia	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.77% Total : 25.25%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.06%	0-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.96% Total : 48.69%