La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 16

Dec 11, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes

Granada
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Ruiz de Galarreta (55' og.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Williams (6')
Williams (78'), Berchiche (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Granada and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Granada

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Granada
Saturday, December 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Cayon 0-3 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, December 7 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Granada 1-2 Athletic Bilbao

We are expecting this to be a close match in terms of the general play and indeed the scoreline, but Athletic are in excellent form at the moment, and we believe that the Lions will be able to navigate their way to what would be an important victory at this stage of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Granada had a probability of 23.58%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Granada	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
23.58% ( 1.39)	24.3% ( 0.85)	52.12% ( -2.24)

Both teams to score 52.49% (

-0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.89% (

-2.14)

49.1% (

2.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.82% (

-1.96)

71.18% (

1.96)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.65% (

0.09)

35.35% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.89% (

0.09)

72.1% (

-0.1)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.18% (

-1.64)

18.81% (

1.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.75% (

-2.81)

50.25% (

2.81)

Score Analysis

Granada 23.58%

Athletic Bilbao 52.11%

Draw 24.3%

Granada	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.6) 2-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.99% Total : 23.58%	1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.43) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.3%	0-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 5.37% ( -0.38) 0-3 @ 5.17% ( -0.38) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 2.24% ( -0.29) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.28) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.17% Total : 52.11%