Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Camp Municipal d'Olot
Rubi1 - 2Athletic Bilbao
M. (86+86')
Picon D. (1'), Morell (31'), Mulero (84'), S. (90+3'), Monso (90+3')
Picon D. (1'), Morell (31'), Mulero (84'), S. (90+3'), Monso (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ares (50', 57')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-2 Valencia
Sunday, October 29 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, October 29 at 5.30pm in La Liga
We said: Rubi 1-5 Athletic Bilbao
Valverde may make the level of changes that gives Rubi a chance of scoring a goal in this contest. Nevertheless, this will surely be a fixture dominated by Bilbao as they bid to enjoy an extended run in the competition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 92.47%. A draw had a probability of 5.8% and a win for Rubi had a probability of 1.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (12.57%) and 0-2 (11.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.73%), while for a Rubi win it was 1-0 (0.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Rubi | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1.78% ( 0) | 5.75% ( 0) | 92.47% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 33.21% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.3% ( 0.01) | 23.7% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
56.8% ( 0.01) | 43.2% ( -0.01) |
Rubi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
34.15% ( 0.04) | 65.85% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
6.64% ( 0.02) | 93.36% ( -0.02) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.24% ( 0) | 2.76% |