MX23RW : Friday, June 14 02:09:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alaves logo
Almeria
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Cadiz logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Granada logo
Las Palmas
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
Athletic Bilbao logo
La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria
Celta Vigo logo

Athletic Bilbao
4 - 3
Celta Vigo

Sancet (37'), Guruzeta (45+5', 52'), Berenguer (90+8' pen.)
Simon (56'), Garcia (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Aspas (25'), Bamba (41'), Strand Larsen (66')
Aspas (39'), Guaita (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Sevilla
Saturday, November 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Celta Vigo

Celta were much-improved against Sevilla last time out and are certainly capable of causing Athletic problems on Friday night. The Lions are in good form, though, and we are expecting them to be good enough to collect another three points to continue their push towards the Champions League positions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 17.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawCelta Vigo
59.22% (-0.417 -0.42) 23.14% (0.179 0.18) 17.64% (0.24 0.24)
Both teams to score 47.26% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.41% (-0.343 -0.34)51.59% (0.346 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.62% (-0.298 -0.3)73.38% (0.303 0.3)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.89% (-0.267 -0.27)17.11% (0.271 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.69% (-0.475 -0.48)47.31% (0.479 0.48)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.02% (0.092000000000006 0.09)42.98% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.72% (0.077000000000002 0.08)79.27% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 59.21%
    Celta Vigo 17.64%
    Draw 23.14%
Athletic BilbaoDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.98% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 11.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.75% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 59.21%
1-1 @ 10.96% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.35% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 23.14%
0-1 @ 6.21% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 4.63% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.62% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 17.64%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo

Athletic Bilbao
87.0%
Draw
10.9%
Celta Vigo
2.2%
92
Head to Head
May 20, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 35
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Celta Vigo
Williams (5'), Berenguer (54')
Paredes (34'), Williams (39'), Garcia (82'), Garcia (90')
Jan 29, 2023 5.30pm
Apr 17, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Athletic Bilbao
0-2
Celta Vigo

Petxarroman (41'), Muniain (62')
Aspas (11'), Beltran (37')
Vazquez (51'), Tapia (90+3')
Aug 28, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 3
Celta Vigo
0-1
Athletic Bilbao

Mendez (52'), Mallo (90+6')
Williams (34')
Simon (90+6')
Mar 14, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 27
Celta Vigo
0-0
Athletic Bilbao
Mina (45'), Vazquez (63'), Murillo (70'), Coudet (89')
Lekue (41')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
Saturday, June 15
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 16
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!