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La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria
Celta Vigo logo

Athletic Bilbao
4 - 3
Celta Vigo

Sancet (37'), Guruzeta (45+5', 52'), Berenguer (90+8' pen.)
Simon (56'), Garcia (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Aspas (25'), Bamba (41'), Strand Larsen (66')
Aspas (39'), Guaita (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 2-3 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, November 5 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Celta Vigo

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Sevilla
Saturday, November 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Celta Vigo

 Celta were much-improved against Sevilla last time out and are certainly capable of causing Athletic problems on Friday night. The Lions are in good form, though, and we are expecting them to be good enough to collect another three points to continue their push towards the Champions League positions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 17.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawCelta Vigo
59.22% (-0.417 -0.42) 23.14% (0.179 0.18) 17.64% (0.24 0.24)
Both teams to score 47.26% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.41% (-0.343 -0.34)51.59% (0.346 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.62% (-0.298 -0.3)73.38% (0.303 0.3)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.89% (-0.267 -0.27)17.11% (0.271 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.69% (-0.475 -0.48)47.31% (0.479 0.48)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.02% (0.092000000000006 0.09)42.98% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.72% (0.077000000000002 0.08)79.27% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 59.21%
    Celta Vigo 17.64%
    Draw 23.14%
Athletic BilbaoDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.98% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 11.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.75% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 59.21%
1-1 @ 10.96% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.35% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 23.14%
0-1 @ 6.21% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 4.63% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.62% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 17.64%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo

Athletic Bilbao
87.0%
Draw
10.9%
Celta Vigo
2.2%
92
Head to Head
May 20, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 35
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Celta Vigo
Williams (5'), Berenguer (54')
Paredes (34'), Williams (39'), Garcia (82'), Garcia (90')
Strand Larsen (50')
de la Torre (65')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
Celta Vigo
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Aspas (71')
> Preview
Apr 17, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Athletic Bilbao
0-2
Celta Vigo

Petxarroman (41'), Muniain (62')
Aspas (11'), Beltran (37')
Vazquez (51'), Tapia (90+3')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 3
Celta Vigo
0-1
Athletic Bilbao

Mendez (52'), Mallo (90+6')
Williams (34')
Simon (90+6')
> Preview
Mar 14, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 27
Celta Vigo
0-0
Athletic Bilbao
Mina (45'), Vazquez (63'), Murillo (70'), Coudet (89')
Lekue (41')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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