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La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria
Celta Vigo logo

Athletic Bilbao
4 - 3
Celta Vigo

Sancet (37'), Guruzeta (45+5', 52'), Berenguer (90+8' pen.)
Simon (56'), Garcia (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Aspas (25'), Bamba (41'), Strand Larsen (66')
Aspas (39'), Guaita (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Sevilla
Saturday, November 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Celta Vigo

Celta were much-improved against Sevilla last time out and are certainly capable of causing Athletic problems on Friday night. The Lions are in good form, though, and we are expecting them to be good enough to collect another three points to continue their push towards the Champions League positions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 17.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawCelta Vigo
59.22% (-0.417 -0.42) 23.14% (0.179 0.18) 17.64% (0.24 0.24)
Both teams to score 47.26% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.41% (-0.343 -0.34)51.59% (0.346 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.62% (-0.298 -0.3)73.38% (0.303 0.3)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.89% (-0.267 -0.27)17.11% (0.271 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.69% (-0.475 -0.48)47.31% (0.479 0.48)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.02% (0.092000000000006 0.09)42.98% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.72% (0.077000000000002 0.08)79.27% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 59.21%
    Celta Vigo 17.64%
    Draw 23.14%
Athletic BilbaoDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.98% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 11.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.75% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 59.21%
1-1 @ 10.96% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.35% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 23.14%
0-1 @ 6.21% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 4.63% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.62% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 17.64%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo

Athletic Bilbao
87.0%
Draw
10.9%
Celta Vigo
2.2%
92
Head to Head
May 20, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 35
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Celta Vigo
Williams (5'), Berenguer (54')
Paredes (34'), Williams (39'), Garcia (82'), Garcia (90')
Jan 29, 2023 5.30pm
Apr 17, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Athletic Bilbao
0-2
Celta Vigo

Petxarroman (41'), Muniain (62')
Aspas (11'), Beltran (37')
Vazquez (51'), Tapia (90+3')
Aug 28, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 3
Celta Vigo
0-1
Athletic Bilbao

Mendez (52'), Mallo (90+6')
Williams (34')
Simon (90+6')
Mar 14, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 27
Celta Vigo
0-0
Athletic Bilbao
Mina (45'), Vazquez (63'), Murillo (70'), Coudet (89')
Lekue (41')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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