Despite Celta's woes domestically, there will not be too many bigger mismatches across the first round of action in this season's Copa del Rey. In their first-ever game in the competition proper, Turegano will hope to put up a respectable showing which they can be proud of, as keeping the score down and potentially finding an unlikely goal will be their aim going into this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 91.07%. A draw had a probability of 6.6% and a win for Turegano had a probability of 2.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (11.74%) and 0-2 (11.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.15%), while for a Turegano win it was 1-0 (0.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Turegano	Draw	Celta Vigo
2.3% ( -0.03)	6.63% ( -0.03)	91.07% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 36.48% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.5% (

-0.03)

24.5% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.74% (

-0.04)

44.26% (

0.03)

Turegano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

37.63% (

-0.22)

62.36% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.19% (

-0.1)

91.81% (

0.1)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.92% (

3.08% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

86.21% (

0.02)

13.79% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Turegano 2.3%

Celta Vigo 91.06%

Draw 6.63%

Turegano	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.39% Total : 2.3%	1-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 1.92% ( 0) 2-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.26% Total : 6.63%	0-3 @ 13.49% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 11.74% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 11.62% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 8.18% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.37% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 5.55% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.02) 0-6 @ 4.75% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 0-7 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 1-6 @ 2.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 1-7 @ 1.11% ( -0) 0-8 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 91.06%