La Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
We said: Celta Vigo 2-1 Alaves
Thursday's encounter pits a team that has struggled on home turf against a side that has lost their last nine La Liga away matches.
While hopes of a victory may be slim in both camps, recent history suggests that Celta Vigo may have the edge after winning their previous five meetings with Alaves, which is why we think that the hosts may sneak over the line to claim three points.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 42.28% . A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 28.18% .
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (7.89%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%) , while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (11.14%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood .
Result Celta Vigo Draw Alaves 42.28% ( -0.04) 29.54% ( 0.06) 28.18% ( -0.02)
Both teams to score 41.68% ( -0.15)
35.15% ( -0.18) 64.85% ( 0.18)
16.21% ( -0.12) 83.79% ( 0.12)
69.58% ( -0.11) 30.42% ( 0.11)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.38% ( -0.13) 66.62% ( 0.14)
59.91% ( -0.11) 40.09% ( 0.11)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 23.27% ( -0.1) 76.73% ( 0.11)
Celta Vigo 42.28%
Alaves 28.17%
Draw 29.53%
Celta Vigo Draw Alaves 1-0 @ 14.51% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.3% Total : 42.28% 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.53% 0-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.38% Total : 28.17%
How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Alaves
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