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Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
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Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
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Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
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La Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Alaves logo

Celta Vigo
1 - 1
Alaves

Marin (35' og.)
de la Torre (15'), Aspas (52'), Beltran (52'), Strand Larsen (69'), Perez (75')
de la Torre (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Omorodion (73')
Lopez (78'), Rioja (90+5'), Marin (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 3-2 Celta Vigo
Saturday, September 23 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Friday, September 22 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 2-1 Alaves

Thursday's encounter pits a team that has struggled on home turf against a side that has lost their last nine La Liga away matches. While hopes of a victory may be slim in both camps, recent history suggests that Celta Vigo may have the edge after winning their previous five meetings with Alaves, which is why we think that the hosts may sneak over the line to claim three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 42.28%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 28.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAlaves
42.28% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04) 29.54% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 28.18% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 41.68% (-0.146 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.15% (-0.176 -0.18)64.85% (0.178 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.21% (-0.123 -0.12)83.79% (0.124 0.12)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.58% (-0.11099999999999 -0.11)30.42% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.38% (-0.133 -0.13)66.62% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.91% (-0.113 -0.11)40.09% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.27% (-0.103 -0.1)76.73% (0.105 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 42.28%
    Alaves 28.17%
    Draw 29.53%
Celta VigoDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 14.51% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7.89% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 42.28%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 12.19% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.61% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 29.53%
0-1 @ 11.14% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 28.17%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Alaves

Celta Vigo
76.3%
Draw
21.3%
Alaves
2.5%
80
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 35
Celta Vigo
4-0
Alaves
Galhardo (6'), Aspas (34', 66'), Navarro (57' og.)
Cervi (42')

N'Diaye (24'), Pina (38'), Mendez (53')
Navarro (64')
Nov 27, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 15
Alaves
1-2
Celta Vigo
Joselu (21')
Duarte (32'), Lejeune (38'), Aguirregabiria (57')
Mina (11'), Aspas (70')
Mendez (50'), Tapia (85')
Apr 4, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 29
Alaves
1-3
Celta Vigo
Lejeune (86')
Laguardia (20'), Lejeune (52'), Navarro (65'), Mendez (85')
Nolito (8'), Aspas (14'), Mina (20')
Murillo (2'), Aidoo (24'), Vazquez (86'), Mallo (90+3')
Murillo (54')
Dec 20, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 14
Celta Vigo
2-0
Alaves
Araujo (55'), Nolito (61')
Battaglia (20'), Pina (35')
Jun 21, 2020 1pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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