Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 42.28%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 28.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Alaves |
42.28% ( -0.04) | 29.54% ( 0.06) | 28.18% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 41.68% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.15% ( -0.18) | 64.85% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.21% ( -0.12) | 83.79% ( 0.12) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.58% ( -0.11) | 30.42% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.38% ( -0.13) | 66.62% ( 0.14) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.91% ( -0.11) | 40.09% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.27% ( -0.1) | 76.73% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 14.51% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.3% Total : 42.28% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.53% | 0-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.38% Total : 28.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |