Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 47.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.