La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 2, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
San Mames Barria
Athletic Bilbao4 - 0Rayo Vallecano
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Girona 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Monday, November 27 at 8pm in La Liga
Monday, November 27 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Barcelona
Saturday, November 25 at 1pm in La Liga
Saturday, November 25 at 1pm in La Liga
We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Rayo have proven to be difficult to beat this season, and Athletic will be under no illusions of the size of the task facing them this weekend. We are expecting a very close match on Saturday but believe that Athletic's quality in the forward positions will allow them to secure a vital three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
55.55% ( -0.45) | 24.24% ( 0.26) | 20.21% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 48.3% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
