We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Barcelona
Rayo's recent record against Barcelona will hand them confidence, and the visitors are not exactly in their best moment when it comes to performances and results. The Catalan giants often find a way to pick up wins when they need to, though, and we are backing them to secure an important three points this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 57.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-0 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.