Barcelona

2 - 1

Shakhtar

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 69.87%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 13.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 3-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-2 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barcelona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.