Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 69.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 10.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.76%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shakhtar Donetsk in this match.

Result
Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Obolon Kyiv
69.25% ( 0.28)	20.1% ( -0.15)	10.65% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 38.9% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.86% (

0.22)

53.13% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.29% (

0.18)

74.71% (

-0.19)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.68% (

0.16)

14.32% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.85% (

0.31)

42.15% (

-0.31)

Obolon Kyiv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.4% (

-0.13)

54.59% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.36% (

-0.08)

87.64% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 69.25%

Obolon Kyiv 10.65%

Draw 20.1%

Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Obolon Kyiv
1-0 @ 15.19% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 14.76% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 69.25%	1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.38% Total : 20.1%	0-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.7% Total : 10.65%