Shakhtar

1 - 2

Vorskla

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 18.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.