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Athletic Bilbao logo
La Liga | Gameweek 15
Nov 26, 2021 at 8pm UK
San Mames
Granada logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 2
Granada

Garcia (10'), Maximiano (76' og.)
Marcelino (53'), Zarraga (62')
Martinez (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Machis (25'), Molina (34')
Montoro (40'), Sanchez (77')

Preview: Athletic Bilbao vs. Granada - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Athletic Bilbao will be looking to return to winning ways in Spain's top flight when they continue their 2021-22 campaign at home to Granada on Friday night.

The Basque outfit are currently eighth in the La Liga table on 19 points, while Granada have collected just 11 points this season, which has left them down in 17th position in the division.


Match preview

Athletic Bilbao players celebrate scoring against Barcelona on August 21, 2021© Reuters

Athletic have won four, drawn seven and lost two of their 13 La Liga matches this season, which has seen them collect 19 points, which is enough for eighth position ahead of the next set of fixtures.

Marcelino's side have only lost one of their last seven in Spain's top flight, although that defeat came at home to Cadiz on November 5, and they are now four matches without a victory at this level.

Indeed, since beating Villarreal on October 23, the Basque outfit have drawn with Espanyol, Real Sociedad and Levante, in addition to suffering the surprise one-goal reverse at home to Cadiz.

Athletic finished 10th in Spain's top flight last term but claimed fifth as recent as 2015-16 and will believe that they are capable of challenging for a potential European spot this season.

The Lions will be looking to make it back-to-back La Liga wins over Granada, meanwhile, having recorded a 2-1 victory when the two sides last locked horns at San Mames back in March.

Granada coach Robert Moreno pictured on September 20, 2021© Reuters

Granada will enter Friday's match off the back of a 4-1 home loss to Real Madrid last weekend, while they also suffered a 2-0 defeat at Espanyol before the international break.

There is no getting away from the fact that it has been a tough start to the season for Robert Moreno's side, with a total of 11 points from 13 matches leaving them in 17th position, level on points with 18th-placed Elche.

Granada have finished seventh and ninth in their last two seasons at this level, so it would be fair to say that a lot was expected of them this season, but their performances thus far have been largely disappointing.

The Red and Whites have won two of their last three league meetings with Athletic but have not been victorious away to the Basque outfit in Spain's top flight since September 2014.

Granada have actually performed better on their travels this season than on home soil, collecting six points from seven away fixtures and only five from six games in front of their own supporters.

Athletic Bilbao La Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • D

Granada La Liga form:
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L



Team News

Athletic Bilbao's Inigo Martinez celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on April 25, 2021© Reuters

Athletic will be missing Asier Villalibre, Daniel Vivian, Peru Nolaskoain and Yuri Berchiche on Friday night through injury, but the Basque outfit do not have any fresh fitness concerns from training this week.

Head coach Marcelino still has plenty of options for change, with Oier Zarraga, Oihan Sancet and Nico Williams among those pushing for spots in the side.

However, there are not expected to be any major surprises when it comes to the home side's XI, with Alex Berenguer, Iker Muniain, Inaki Williams and Raul Garcia all likely to retain their spots.

Granada, meanwhile, will be missing Isma Ruiz, Victor Diaz, Luis Milla and Domingos Duarte on Friday night through injury.

The visitors will also be unable to call upon the services of Monchu, with the midfielder picking up a straight red card in the home defeat to Real Madrid last time out.

Diaz's absence in a defensive area will open the door for Raul Torrente to start, while Monchu's suspension could see Yan Eteki feature in central midfield.

Jorge Molina is also pushing to be involved in the final third of the field and could come into the side for Ruben Rochina, who featured as a forward against Real Madrid.

Athletic Bilbao possible starting lineup:
Simon; Balenziaga, I Martinez, Yeray, Lekue; Berenguer, D Garcia, Vencedor, Muniain; Williams, R Garcia

Granada possible starting lineup:
Maximiano; Quini, Torrente, Sanchez, Neva; Suarez, Gonalons, Eteki, Puertas; Soro, Molina


SM words green background

We say: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Granada

Athletic are due a victory in Spain's top flight, and we believe that the home side will triumph here. Granada had started to show improvement before losing back-to-back matches, but Athletic should have enough to pick up an important three points at San Mames.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Granada had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Granada

Athletic Bilbao
79.3%
Draw
14.0%
Granada
6.6%
121
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
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3Real Madrid1283125111427
4Villarreal127322319424
5GironaGirona146352018221
6Mallorca146351312121
7Osasuna136341720-321
8Athletic Bilbao135531913620
9Real BetisBetis145541616020
10Real Sociedad135351110118
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13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15Getafe142751011-113
16AlavesAlaves144191524-913
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20Real ValladolidValladolid142391027-179


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