La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 17

Dec 16, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 0
Atletico

Guruzeta (51'), Williams (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

De Paul (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Granada 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Monday, December 11 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 2-0 Lazio
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Atletico Madrid

Only one of the last six La Liga meetings between these two sides have finished level, but we are predicting a stalemate on Saturday. Athletic are strong at home, while Atletico's away form has been patchy, so we are finding it difficult to predict another victory for Simeone's side here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Atletico Madrid
48.36% ( 0.05)	24.45% ( -0)	27.19% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 55.54% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.25% (

-0.03)

46.75% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.99% (

-0.03)

69.01% (

0.03)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.6% (

0.01)

19.4% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.79% (

0.01)

51.21% (

-0.01)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.91% (

-0.05)

31.09% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.59% (

-0.06)

67.41% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 48.36%

Atletico Madrid 27.19%

Draw 24.45%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 48.36%	1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.45%	0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 27.19%