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La Liga
Las Palmas
La Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Gran Canaria
Atletico Madrid logo

Las Palmas
2 - 1
Atletico

Rodriguez (51'), Benito (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morata (83')
De Paul (62'), Gimenez (90+3'), Savic (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Las Palmas and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Las Palmas

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Manacor 0-3 Las Palmas
Tuesday, October 31 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Alaves
Sunday, October 29 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Las Palmas 0-1 Atletico Madrid

 Both teams have been strong defensively this season, while Las Palmas have found it difficult to hit the back of the net, so we are predicting a low-scoring away win here, but it would not be a huge surprise if Las Palmas were able to hold Simeone's team to a goalless draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Las PalmasDrawAtletico Madrid
28.29% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09) 25.81% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 45.91% (0.148 0.15)
Both teams to score 52.03% (0.118 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.27% (0.18 0.18)51.73% (-0.178 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.49% (0.154 0.15)73.51% (-0.152 -0.15)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.14% (0.028000000000006 0.03)32.86% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)69.43% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5% (0.14500000000001 0.15)22.51% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.93% (0.216 0.22)56.07% (-0.213 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Las Palmas 28.29%
    Atletico Madrid 45.9%
    Draw 25.8%
Las PalmasDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.23% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 6.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.58% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 28.29%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 11.02% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.15% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.23% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.55% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.09% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.7% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 45.9%

How you voted: Las Palmas vs Atletico

Las Palmas
9.0%
Draw
11.8%
Atletico Madrid
79.2%
144
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2018 3.15pm
Atletico
3-0
Las Palmas
Griezmann (61'), Torres (73'), Partey (88')
Niguez (82')

Navarro (67'), Galvez (85')
> Match Report
Aug 26, 2017 9.15pm
Las Palmas
1-5
Atletico
Calleri (58')
Hernan (14'), Bigas (24'), Gonzalez (39'), Viera (62')
Correa (3'), Carrasco (5'), Koke (62', 75'), Partey (88')
Vietto (39')
> Match Report
Apr 29, 2017 5.30pm
Las Palmas
0-5
Atletico

Boateng (6'), Jese (32'), Halilovic (56')
Boateng (65')
Gameiro (2', 18'), Niguez (17'), Partey (72'), Torres (91')
Niguez (14'), Savic (31'), Gaitan (61'), Partey (89')
Jan 10, 2017 8.15pm
Round Five
Atletico
2-3
Las Palmas
Griezmann (49'), Correa (61')
Correa (35'), Lucas (45'), Gabi (69')
Livaja (58', 89'), Ezequiel Garcia (93')
Cabrera Momo (50')
Jan 3, 2017 8.15pm
Round Five
Las Palmas
0-2
Atletico

Boateng (81'), Garcia (81')
Koke (23'), Griezmann (51')
Koke (30'), Gabi (47'), Vrsaljko (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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