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La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Real Sociedad logo

Atletico
2 - 1
Real Sociedad

Lino (22'), Griezmann (89' pen.)
Koke (48'), Galan (90+6'), Griezmann (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Oyarzabal (73')
Le Normand (15'), Traore (86'), Fernandez (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 3-2 Feyenoord
Wednesday, October 4 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Real Sociedad

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Salzburg 0-2 Real Sociedad
Tuesday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Real Sociedad

 This has all of the makings of a cracking match, but we are finding it difficult to separate them. Atletico are the favourites on home soil, but Simeone's side have so many injury problems, especially at the back, and we are expecting Real Sociedad to be good enough for a point this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 25.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawReal Sociedad
47.6% (0.104 0.1) 27.14% (0.277 0.28) 25.26% (-0.383 -0.38)
Both teams to score 45.92% (-1.073 -1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.47% (-1.222 -1.22)58.54% (1.22 1.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.89% (-0.964 -0.96)79.11% (0.961 0.96)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (-0.492 -0.49)24.66% (0.491 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.83% (-0.692 -0.69)59.18% (0.69 0.69)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.95% (-1.02 -1.02)39.06% (1.017 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.23% (-0.972 -0.97)75.78% (0.97 0.97)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 47.6%
    Real Sociedad 25.26%
    Draw 27.13%
Atletico MadridDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 13.48% (0.43 0.43)
2-0 @ 9.44% (0.169 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.41% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 47.6%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.63% (0.437 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.159 -0.16)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 9.05% (0.168 0.17)
1-2 @ 5.96% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-2 @ 4.26% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 25.26%

How you voted: Atletico vs Real Sociedad

Atletico Madrid
62.9%
Draw
27.4%
Real Sociedad
9.7%
62
Head to Head
Aug 3, 2023 2am
Club Friendlies
Atletico
0-0
Real Sociedad
Hermoso (33')
Zubeldia (14'), Le Normand (33'), Pacheco (54+54'), Pacheco (54')
> Preview
May 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 37
Atletico
2-1
Real Sociedad
Griezmann (37'), Molina (73')
De Paul (60'), Hermoso (63')
Sorloth (88')
Merino (27'), Elustondo (54')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Real Sociedad
1-1
Atletico
Sadiq (55')
Zubimendi (28'), Cho (35'), Zubeldia (57'), Gorosabel (72'), Merino (90+7')
Morata (5')
Niguez (12'), De Paul (24'), Llorente (35'), Simeone (45+6'), Morata (61')
> Preview
May 22, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 38
Real Sociedad
1-2
Atletico
Guridi (90+3')
Le Normand (13'), Rafinha (36'), Merino (53'), Portu (76')
De Paul (50'), Correa (68')
Griezmann (45+2'), Savic (90+2')
> Preview
Jan 19, 2022 8pm
Round of 16
Real Sociedad
2-0
Atletico
Januzaj (33'), Sorloth (47')
Munoz (28'), Silva (59')

Hermoso (31'), Felipe (39'), Cunha (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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