Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 25.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
47.6% ( 0.1) | 27.14% ( 0.28) | 25.26% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 45.92% ( -1.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.47% ( -1.22) | 58.54% ( 1.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.89% ( -0.96) | 79.11% ( 0.96) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.35% ( -0.49) | 24.66% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.83% ( -0.69) | 59.18% ( 0.69) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.95% ( -1.02) | 39.06% ( 1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.23% ( -0.97) | 75.78% ( 0.97) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 13.48% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.32% Total : 47.6% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.48% Total : 25.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |