Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Valencia |
37.26% ( -0.3) | 28.11% ( 0.03) | 34.63% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 47.41% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.3% ( -0.08) | 58.7% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.76% ( -0.06) | 79.24% ( 0.06) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.69% ( -0.23) | 30.3% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.51% ( -0.27) | 66.48% ( 0.27) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.02% ( 0.14) | 31.97% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.57% ( 0.16) | 68.43% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.25% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.11% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |