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La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 19, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Valencia logo

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 1
Valencia


Perez (70'), Nteka (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Canos (61')
Guillamon (34'), Vazquez (50'), Amallah (75'), Perez (81'), Diakhaby (90+5')
Correia (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Barcelona
Saturday, December 16 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Valencia

Both teams are on 20 points from 17 matches, while three of their last four league meetings have finished level. A case can be made for either to win it, but we are finding it difficult to separate them, ultimately settling on a low-scoring draw on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawValencia
37.26% (-0.301 -0.3) 28.11% (0.026 0.03) 34.63% (0.272 0.27)
Both teams to score 47.41% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.3% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)58.7% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.76% (-0.064 -0.06)79.24% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (-0.22500000000001 -0.23)30.3% (0.224 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (-0.269 -0.27)66.48% (0.26600000000001 0.27)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02% (0.139 0.14)31.97% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.57% (0.157 0.16)68.43% (-0.158 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 37.25%
    Valencia 34.62%
    Draw 28.11%
Rayo VallecanoDrawValencia
1-0 @ 11.56% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.87% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.91% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.75% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 37.25%
1-1 @ 13.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.69% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.11%
0-1 @ 11.04% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.52% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.3% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.86% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.39% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.62%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia

Rayo Vallecano
35.1%
Draw
42.9%
Valencia
22.1%
77
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2023 8pm
Sep 10, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 5
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Valencia
Isi (5'), Gonzalez (52' og.)
Diakhaby (90+3')
Apr 11, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 31
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Valencia
Guardiola (83')
Lopez (5'), Balliu (90+3'), Catena (90+9')
Soler (57')
Moriba (8'), Duro (42'), Maranhao (74'), Correia (90+9')
Nov 27, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Valencia
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Soler (19' pen.)
Soler (27'), Diakhaby (45'), Alderete (45+2'), Gaya (55'), Foulquier (62'), Wass (68')
Isi (64')
Saveljich (18'), Comesana (54'), Isi (55'), Catena (73'), Valentin (75')
Apr 6, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Rayo Vallecano
2-0
Valencia
De Tomas (32'), Suarez (91')
de Tomas (14'), Galvez (55')

Torres (29'), Roncaglia (76'), Diakhaby (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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