Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Valencia |
37.26% ( -0.3) | 28.11% ( 0.03) | 34.63% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 47.41% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.3% ( -0.08) | 58.7% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.76% ( -0.06) | 79.24% ( 0.06) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.69% ( -0.23) | 30.3% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.51% ( -0.27) | 66.48% ( 0.27) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.02% ( 0.14) | 31.97% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.57% ( 0.16) | 68.43% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.25% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.11% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |