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La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 19, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Valencia logo

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 1
Valencia


Perez (70'), Nteka (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Canos (61')
Guillamon (34'), Vazquez (50'), Amallah (75'), Perez (81'), Diakhaby (90+5')
Correia (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Barcelona
Saturday, December 16 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Valencia

Both teams are on 20 points from 17 matches, while three of their last four league meetings have finished level. A case can be made for either to win it, but we are finding it difficult to separate them, ultimately settling on a low-scoring draw on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawValencia
37.26% (-0.301 -0.3) 28.11% (0.026 0.03) 34.63% (0.272 0.27)
Both teams to score 47.41% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.3% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)58.7% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.76% (-0.064 -0.06)79.24% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (-0.22500000000001 -0.23)30.3% (0.224 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (-0.269 -0.27)66.48% (0.26600000000001 0.27)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02% (0.139 0.14)31.97% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.57% (0.157 0.16)68.43% (-0.158 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 37.25%
    Valencia 34.62%
    Draw 28.11%
Rayo VallecanoDrawValencia
1-0 @ 11.56% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.87% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.91% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.75% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 37.25%
1-1 @ 13.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.69% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.11%
0-1 @ 11.04% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.52% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.3% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.86% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.39% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.62%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia

Rayo Vallecano
35.1%
Draw
42.9%
Valencia
22.1%
77
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2023 8pm
Sep 10, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 5
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Valencia
Isi (5'), Gonzalez (52' og.)
Diakhaby (90+3')
Apr 11, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 31
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Valencia
Guardiola (83')
Lopez (5'), Balliu (90+3'), Catena (90+9')
Soler (57')
Moriba (8'), Duro (42'), Maranhao (74'), Correia (90+9')
Nov 27, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Valencia
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Soler (19' pen.)
Soler (27'), Diakhaby (45'), Alderete (45+2'), Gaya (55'), Foulquier (62'), Wass (68')
Isi (64')
Saveljich (18'), Comesana (54'), Isi (55'), Catena (73'), Valentin (75')
Apr 6, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Rayo Vallecano
2-0
Valencia
De Tomas (32'), Suarez (91')
de Tomas (14'), Galvez (55')

Torres (29'), Roncaglia (76'), Diakhaby (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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