La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 16

Dec 8, 2023 at 8pm UK

Coliseum Alfonso Perez

Getafe
1 - 0
Valencia

Mayoral (87')
Milla (57'), Dakonam (62')
Duarte (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Correia (42'), Paulista (43'), Baraja (43'), Foulquier (90+3')
Paulista (50'), Guerra (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Getafe and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Getafe

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atzeneta 1-2 Getafe
Tuesday, December 5 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Arosa 0-1 Valencia
Tuesday, December 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

This is a really difficult match to call, especially considering how the two teams have performed in the league this season. Getafe have shared the points in seven of their 15 La Liga matches this term, and we are expecting the two teams to play out a low-scoring draw on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 40.88%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 29.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Getafe in this match.

Result
Getafe	Draw	Valencia
40.88% ( -0.05)	29.96% ( 0.01)	29.16% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 41.09% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.2% (

-0.02)

65.8% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.55% (

-0.01)

84.45% (

0.01)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.28% (

-0.04)

31.72% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.85% (

-0.04)

68.14% (

0.04)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.18% (

0.02)

39.82% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.51% (

0.02)

76.49% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Getafe 40.87%

Valencia 29.16%

Draw 29.95%

Getafe	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 14.5% 2-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 40.87%	1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.95%	0-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.41% Total : 29.16%