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La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Valencia logo

Cadiz
1 - 4
Valencia

Alcaraz (21' pen.)
Hernandez (30'), Alejo (57'), Alcaraz (63'), Hernandez (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Duro (8'), Lopez (52'), Guerra (90+4'), Vazquez (90+8')
Guillamon (57'), Mamardashvili (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Granada 2-0 Cadiz
Wednesday, January 3 at 4pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cartagena 1-2 Valencia
Sunday, January 7 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Cadiz 1-2 Valencia

Valencia have the winning habit at the moment, and the visitors will fancy their chances of putting another victory on the board this weekend. Cadiz are certainly better than what they have shown this season, but we are finding it difficult to back them to avoid defeat in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 42.21%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 28.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 1-2 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
CadizDrawValencia
28.61% (-0.212 -0.21) 29.17% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 42.21% (0.231 0.23)
Both teams to score 42.79% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.41% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)63.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.11% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)82.89% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.98% (-0.184 -0.18)39.01% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.26% (-0.172 -0.17)75.73% (0.169 0.17)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17% (0.122 0.12)29.83% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (0.149 0.15)65.91% (-0.151 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 28.61%
    Valencia 42.21%
    Draw 29.17%
CadizDrawValencia
1-0 @ 10.95% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 6.24% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.16% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.96% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.62% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 28.61%
1-1 @ 13.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.17%
0-1 @ 14.07% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 8.52% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.02% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.43% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.015 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 42.21%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Valencia

Cadiz
13.8%
Draw
19.0%
Valencia
67.2%
58
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 10
Valencia
2-0
Cadiz
Gaya (4'), Duro (26')

Pires (68'), Fali (71'), Sobrino (90+2')
Navarro (22')
Apr 30, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 32
Cadiz
2-1
Valencia
Escalante (39'), Guardiola (46')
Lino (51')
Jan 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 16
Valencia
0-1
Cadiz
Alcaraz (9')
Apr 3, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Valencia
0-0
Cadiz
Alderete (59'), Paulista (66'), Diakhaby (90+6')
Fede (33'), Alejo (58'), Alcaraz (77'), Mari (86'), Lozano (87')
Mari (90+5')
Feb 2, 2022 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Valencia
2-1
Cadiz
Guedes (24'), Duro (79')
Gaya (34'), Comert (53'), Gomez (87')
Perez (54' pen.)
Alejo (38'), Alcaraz (59'), Sobrino (61'), Cala (71'), Parra (87')
Cala (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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