La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 20

Jan 14, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla

Cadiz
1 - 4
Valencia

Alcaraz (21' pen.)
Hernandez (30'), Alejo (57'), Alcaraz (63'), Hernandez (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Duro (8'), Lopez (52'), Guerra (90+4'), Vazquez (90+8')
Guillamon (57'), Mamardashvili (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cadiz

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Granada 2-0 Cadiz
Wednesday, January 3 at 4pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Cartagena 1-2 Valencia
Sunday, January 7 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia have the winning habit at the moment, and the visitors will fancy their chances of putting another victory on the board this weekend. Cadiz are certainly better than what they have shown this season, but we are finding it difficult to back them to avoid defeat in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 42.21%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 28.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 1-2 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
Cadiz	Draw	Valencia
28.61% ( -0.21)	29.17% ( -0.02)	42.21% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 42.79% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.41% (

-0.02)

63.58% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.11% (

-0.01)

82.89% (

0.01)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.98% (

-0.18)

39.01% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.26% (

-0.17)

75.73% (

0.17)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.17% (

0.12)

29.83% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.09% (

0.15)

65.91% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Cadiz 28.61%

Valencia 42.21%

Draw 29.17%

Cadiz	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 10.95% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.51% Total : 28.61%	1-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.17%	0-1 @ 14.07% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.4% Total : 42.21%