Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Cadiz |
51.77% ( 1.08) | 26.65% ( 0.2) | 21.58% ( -1.28) |
Both teams to score 43.58% ( -1.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.36% ( -1.77) | 59.64% ( 1.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.04% ( -1.38) | 79.96% ( 1.38) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.78% ( -0.28) | 23.22% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.87% ( -0.41) | 57.13% ( 0.41) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.76% ( -2.32) | 43.24% ( 2.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.51% ( -2.01) | 79.49% ( 2.01) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 14.66% ( 0.84) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.53) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.53% Total : 51.77% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |