We said: Cadiz 1-2 Real Madrid
Real Madrid's fitness problems are piling up, and Cadiz will fancy their chances of making this a difficult match for Ancelotti's side. Los Blancos still have more than enough quality to secure all three points, though, and we are expecting them to edge a close contest on Sunday evening.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.35%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.