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Valencia logo
La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 3, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Mestalla
Cadiz logo

Valencia
0 - 0
Cadiz


Alderete (59'), Paulista (66'), Diakhaby (90+6')
FT

Fede (33'), Alejo (58'), Alcaraz (77'), Mari (86'), Lozano (87')
Mari (90+5')

Preview: Valencia vs. Cadiz - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Valencia will be looking to stretch their unbeaten run of form in La Liga to five matches when they welcome Cadiz to Mestalla on Sunday night.

Los Che entered the international break off the back of a 1-0 victory over Elche, while Cadiz boosted their survival hopes with a 1-0 win against Villarreal last time out.


Match preview

Valencia coach Jose Bordalas Jimenez reacts on March 2, 2022© Reuters

Valencia made it four wins from their last five matches in all competitions when they beat Elche in La Liga before the international break, with Goncalo Guedes scoring the only goal of the contest early in the second period.

Los Che have picked up 10 points from their last four league matches, meanwhile, which has moved them into ninth position in the table, boasting 40 points from their 29 league games this term.

Valencia are only one point behind eighth-placed Athletic Bilbao and just five from seventh-placed Villarreal, while they will have the chance to win some silverware this season, having made the Copa del Rey final, with Real Betis their opponents in the competition on April 22.

Jose Bordalas's side have struggled for consistency at home in La Liga this term, winning five, drawing six and losing three of their 14 matches to collect 21 points, while they will be taking on a Cadiz side that have picked up points in half of their 14 away league games this term.

Valencia are certainly well-placed to improve on last season's disappointing 13th-place finish in Spain's top flight, and they have a relatively kind fixture list between now and the end of the campaign.

Cadiz's Luis Alfonso Espino and Victor Chust celebrate their first goal scored by Alvaro Negredo on March 10, 2022© Reuters

Cadiz, meanwhile, have boosted their survival hopes in recent weeks, losing just one of their last six in the league, which came away to Atletico Madrid on March 11.

The Yellow Submarine have been victorious in two of their last three in Spain's top flight, with the two successes coming at home against Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal.

Cadiz are still locked in a serious battle towards the bottom of the division, but they have moved out of the relegation zone into 17th position, one point clear of 18th-placed Mallorca on the same number of games (29).

Sergio's side have some incredibly difficult matches before the end of the season, visiting Barcelona and Sevilla this month, while they will take on Real Madrid in their penultimate league game of the campaign.

Los Piratas were excellent on their return to Spain's top flight last term, claiming 12th, but there is no question that it has been more difficult for the club this season, and they are bidding to make it back-to-back campaigns at this level of football for the first time since 1993.

Valencia La Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W

Valencia form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W

Cadiz La Liga form:
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W



Team News

Valencia's Yunus Musah celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on January 22, 2022© Reuters

Valencia remain without the services of Toni Lato and Koba Koindredi due to fitness problems, but their injury situation has certainly improved over the international break.

Gabriel Paulista, Jose Gaya, Thierry Correia and Jasper Cillessen could all be back in the squad for this match, although it would be a surprise if they started at Mestalla.

Head coach Bordalas could decide to select the same XI that took to the field for the clash with Elche before the international break, with Guedes and Bryan Gil supporting Maxi Gomez in the final third of the field.

As for Cadiz, Tomas Alarcon, Varazdat Haroyan and Florin Andone remain unavailable for selection due to injury issues.

The Yellow Submarine did not pick up any fresh concerns in their win over Villarreal last time out, though, so it would not be a surprise if they were unchanged for this contest.

Indeed, Anthony Lozano and Alvaro Negredo could again feature as the front two for the visitors, while Ruben Alcaraz should retain his spot in the middle of the park at Mestalla.

Valencia possible starting lineup:
Mamardashvili; Foulquier, Diakhaby, Alderete, Vazquez; Gil, Soler, Guillamon, Musah, Guedes; Gomez

Cadiz possible starting lineup:
Ledesma; Akapo, Hernandez, Chust, Espino; Alejo, Fede, Alcaraz, Idrissi; Negredo, Lozano


SM words green background

We say: Valencia 2-1 Cadiz

Valencia will certainly be wary of Cadiz's recent improvement, and the visitors will have gained confidence from their impressive win over Villarreal before the international break. Valencia have shown plenty of positive signs in recent weeks, though, we fancy the home side to collect all three points here.


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 46.16%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Valencia vs Cadiz

Valencia
86.3%
Draw
7.8%
Cadiz
5.9%
51
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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