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World Cup
Peru national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental
Chile national football team

Peru
0 - 0
Chile


Corzo (46'), Cartagena (66')
FT

Loyola (45+3'), Vargas (88'), Suazo (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Peru and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Brazil 4-0 Peru
Wednesday, October 16 at 1.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina111322
2Colombia10719
3Ecuador11619
4Brazil11617
5Uruguay10716
6Paraguay11116
7Venezuela11-212
8Bolivia11-1412
9Peru10-116
10Chile10-135

Chile

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Colombia 4-0 Chile
Tuesday, October 15 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina111322
2Colombia10719
3Ecuador11619
4Brazil11617
5Uruguay10716
6Paraguay11116
7Venezuela11-212
8Bolivia11-1412
9Peru10-116
10Chile10-135

We said: Peru 2-0 Chile

 Despite sitting six points off the top seven, Peru have shown promising signs at home, taking four points off Colombia and Uruguay recently, and against a Chile side in disarray, they will hope they can take advantage to claim a vital three points which could bring them back into contention. One positive Chile can take into this encounter is that their solitary win so far in the campaign came against Peru last year, but even their most ardent fans will know that is simply clutching at straws, and a sixth straight defeat looks likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 39.68%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Chile had a probability of 29.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 2-1 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.01%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.

Result
PeruDrawChile
39.68% (0.425 0.42) 30.97% (0.437 0.44) 29.35% (-0.863 -0.86)
Both teams to score 38.79% (-1.289 -1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.39% (-1.403 -1.4)68.61% (1.402 1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.66% (-0.93 -0.93)86.33% (0.931 0.93)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.06% (-0.488 -0.49)33.94% (0.489 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.39% (-0.533 -0.53)70.61% (0.533 0.53)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.71% (-1.508 -1.51)41.29% (1.509 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.19% (-1.362 -1.36)77.81% (1.363 1.36)
Score Analysis
    Peru 39.68%
    Chile 29.35%
    Draw 30.96%
PeruDrawChile
1-0 @ 15.14% (0.57 0.57)
2-0 @ 8.18% (0.202 0.2)
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.61% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.15% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 39.68%
0-0 @ 14.01% (0.71 0.71)
1-1 @ 13.39% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.2% (-0.189 -0.19)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 30.96%
0-1 @ 12.39% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.267 -0.27)
0-2 @ 5.48% (-0.171 -0.17)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 29.35%

How you voted: Peru vs Chile

Peru
71.0%
Draw
12.9%
Chile
16.1%
62
Head to Head
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Peru
0-0
Chile
Zambrano (18')
Pulgar (22'), Davila (47'), Sanchez (79')
> Preview
Oct 13, 2023 1am
Group Stage
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Peru
Valdes (74'), Nunez (90+1')
Brereton Diaz (49'), Pulgar (76')

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> Preview
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Chile
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