

Argentina2 - 0Peru
The Match
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, June 26 at 2am in Copa America
We said: Argentina 2-0 Peru
Having drawn a blank in front of goal in their first two group games, Peru must find their shooting boots on Saturday if they are to have any chance of claiming the victory that they need to boost their hopes of reaching the quarter-finals. However, it is difficult to envisage a Peruvian triumph in Florida; La Blanquirroja have not beaten Argentina in any competition since securing a 2-1 victory at the 1997 Copa America, and although Scaloni is without Messi and will make changes to his first XI, La Albiceleste should have enough strength in depth to come out on top and seal first position in Group A. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 72.27%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Peru had a probability of 9.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.98%) and 3-0 (10.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Argentina in this match.
Result | ||
Argentina | Draw | Peru |
72.27% (![]() | 18.62% (![]() | 9.11% (![]() |
Both teams to score 37.68% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.53% (![]() | 51.47% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.72% (![]() | 73.27% (![]() |
Argentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.1% (![]() | 12.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.69% (![]() | 39.31% (![]() |
Peru Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.26% (![]() | 56.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.11% (![]() | 88.89% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Argentina | Draw | Peru |
2-0 @ 15.34% (![]() 1-0 @ 14.98% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 10.47% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.7% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.94% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.37% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 3.29% Total : 72.25% | 1-1 @ 8.5% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.32% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.47% ( ![]() Other @ 0.34% Total : 18.62% | 0-1 @ 4.15% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 1.38% Total : 9.11% |
How you voted: Argentina vs Peru

