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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stockport County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stockport County.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Wrexham |
45.2% ( -0.35) | 24.82% ( 0.14) | 29.97% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 56.26% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.31% ( -0.48) | 46.69% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.05% ( -0.45) | 68.95% ( 0.45) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.29% ( -0.35) | 20.71% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.68% ( -0.55) | 53.32% ( 0.56) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.96% ( -0.09) | 29.04% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.05% ( -0.12) | 64.95% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Wrexham |
1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.7% Total : 45.2% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 31 |
7 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 28 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |