League One | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Stevenage1 - 0Wrexham
We said: Stevenage 0-1 Wrexham
Early into the new campaign, Wrexham have proven they have a lot more attacking depth outside of Mullin, and we believe they will be able to overcome a stubborn Stevenage side who are not particularly dangerous going forward. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Wrexham |
45.57% ( -4.23) | 26.16% ( 1.95) | 28.27% ( 2.28) |
| Both teams to score 50.94% ( -4.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.86% ( -6.55) | 53.14% ( 6.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.28% ( -5.85) | 74.71% ( 5.86) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.74% ( -4.51) | 23.26% ( 4.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.81% ( -7.04) | 57.18% ( 7.04) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% ( -1.68) | 33.61% ( 1.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.74% ( -1.87) | 70.26% ( 1.87) |
| Score Analysis |
Stevenage 45.57%
Wrexham 28.27%
Draw 26.16%
| Stevenage | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% ( 1.38) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.51)2-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.94)3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.64)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.65)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.63)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.48)Other @ 2.85% Total : 45.57% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.99) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 1.83)2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.52)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( 1.69) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.75)1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.28)0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.37% Total : 28.27% |
How you voted: Stevenage vs Wrexham
Stevenage
15.6%Draw
11.1%Wrexham
73.3%45
Form Guide
