Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
We said: Exeter City 2-0 Stevenage
Exeter may have lost last weekend, but they tend to perform well in meetings with Stevenage, and we think that they will draw confidence from their impressive head-to-head record to claim all three points in Saturday's contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Exeter City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Stevenage |
36.71% ( -0.25) | 27.52% ( 0.06) | 35.77% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 49.26% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.57% ( -0.23) | 56.43% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.56% ( -0.19) | 77.44% ( 0.19) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% ( -0.27) | 29.52% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.46% ( -0.33) | 65.54% ( 0.33) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.9% ( 0.01) | 30.1% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.76% ( 0.01) | 66.24% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.71% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.76% |
