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League One | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Exeter City

Bolton
0 - 2
Exeter


Santos (23'), Johnston (66'), Yfeko (90+1'), Cogley (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Doyle (34'), Alli (49')
Sweeney (9'), Niskanen (53'), Whitworth (69'), Cole (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Bolton
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Peterborough
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Exeter City

 Neither side have any momentum heading into this contest based on their recent League One fixtures, which could make for a low-key affair. However, we are backing the home side to come through, potentially through a late goal when Exeter are settling for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawExeter City
45.22% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 24.56% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 30.22% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 57.29% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.6% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)45.4% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.26% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)67.73% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.82% (0.012 0.01)20.18% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.53% (0.016999999999996 0.02)52.47% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)28.23% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07% (-0.058 -0.06)63.93% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 45.22%
    Exeter City 30.22%
    Draw 24.56%
Bolton WanderersDrawExeter City
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.3% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.92% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 3.89% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 45.22%
1-1 @ 11.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.56%
1-2 @ 7.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 30.22%

How you voted: Bolton vs Exeter

Bolton Wanderers
81.0%
Draw
14.3%
Exeter City
4.8%
21
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Exeter
2-2
Bolton
Cox (46', 49')
Aitchison (73'), Sweeney (90+7')
Maghoma (33'), Toal (87')
> Preview
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Bolton
7-0
Exeter
Iredale (34'), Adeboyejo (43'), Maghoma (55'), Charles (63', 74'), Dempsey (86'), N'Lundulu (90+2')

Jules (18')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Exeter
0-1
Bolton
Bradley (27')
> Preview
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bolton
2-0
Exeter
Bradley (8'), Charles (26')
> Preview
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bolton
1-2
Exeter
Jones (15')
Baptiste (32'), Williams (37')
Williams (49'), Sweeney (90+6')
Key (27'), Hartridge (29'), Willmott (42'), Taylor (79'), Sparkes (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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