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League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Bolton logo

Exeter
0 - 1
Bolton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Bradley (27')
Mbete (76'), Thomason (82'), N'Lundulu (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Exeter City and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Exeter
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 4-0 Plymouth
Sunday, April 2 at 3pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Bolton Wanderers

 Exeter's recent home form has been excellent, and this has the potential to be a very tough game for Bolton, who are not in the best of form in the league. It would not be a shock to see a home or indeed an away win, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared in Devon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBolton Wanderers
35.26% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03) 25.89% (0.0030000000000001 0) 38.84% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.49% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.2% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)49.8% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.2% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)71.8% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)27.19% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.4% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)62.59% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (0.007000000000005 0.01)25.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)59.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 35.26%
    Bolton Wanderers 38.84%
    Draw 25.89%
Exeter CityDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.01% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 5.8% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.26%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 9.44% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.51% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.54%
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 38.84%

How you voted: Exeter vs Bolton

Exeter City
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Bolton Wanderers
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Bolton
2-0
Exeter
Bradley (8'), Charles (26')

Sparkes (90+3')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Bolton
1-2
Exeter
Jones (15')
Baptiste (32'), Williams (37')
Williams (49'), Sweeney (90+6')
Key (27'), Hartridge (29'), Willmott (42'), Taylor (79'), Sparkes (84')
Jan 12, 2021 7pm
Exeter
1-1
Bolton
Santos (62' og.)
Atangana (67')
Gnahoua (73')
Sarcevic (53'), Brockbank (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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