League One

League One | Gameweek 40

Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
0 - 1
Bolton

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bradley (27')
Mbete (76'), Thomason (82'), N'Lundulu (90+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Exeter City and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Exeter
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bolton 4-0 Plymouth
Sunday, April 2 at 3pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Bolton Wanderers

Exeter's recent home form has been excellent, and this has the potential to be a very tough game for Bolton, who are not in the best of form in the league. It would not be a shock to see a home or indeed an away win, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared in Devon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
35.26% ( -0.03)	25.89% ( 0)	38.84% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 54.49% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.2% (

-0.02)

49.8% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.2% (

-0.01)

71.8% (

0.01)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.81% (

-0.03)

27.19% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.4% (

-0.03)

62.59% (

0.03)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.84% (

0.01)

25.16% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.12% (

0.01)

59.88% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 35.26%

Bolton Wanderers 38.84%

Draw 25.89%

Exeter City	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.26%	1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.54% 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 38.84%