League Two

League Two | Gameweek 45

May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK

Macron Stadium

Bolton
1 - 2
Exeter

Jones (15')
Baptiste (32'), Williams (37')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Williams (49'), Sweeney (90+6')
Key (27'), Hartridge (29'), Willmott (42'), Taylor (79'), Sparkes (84')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Bolton Wanderers and Exeter City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Exeter City
36.34%	26.92%	36.74%

Both teams to score 51.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.95%

54.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.52%

75.47%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.41%

28.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.62%

64.37%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.66%

28.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.92%

64.07%

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 36.33%

Exeter City 36.73%

Draw 26.92%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.68% Total : 36.33%	1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.1% 2-2 @ 5.05% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.92%	0-1 @ 10.21% 1-2 @ 8.06% 0-2 @ 6.44% 1-3 @ 3.39% 0-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.74% Total : 36.73%