Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 45.37%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 27.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 1-0 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.