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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Bolton logo
League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 20, 2021 at 7pm UK
Macron Stadium
Carlisle United

Bolton
1 - 0
Carlisle

Doyle (28')
Santos (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

(43'), Riley (56')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Bolton Wanderers and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawCarlisle United
40.19%26.88%32.94%
Both teams to score 50.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.75%54.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.36%75.65%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52%26.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34%61.67%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.17%30.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.89%67.11%
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 40.19%
    Carlisle United 32.94%
    Draw 26.87%
Bolton WanderersDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.85%
2-1 @ 8.48%
2-0 @ 7.21%
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-0 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 2.21%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.19%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.17%
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 9.61%
1-2 @ 7.51%
0-2 @ 5.65%
1-3 @ 2.95%
0-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.94%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 20
Carlisle
3-3
Bolton
Hayden (5'), Alessandra (7'), Patrick (36')
Riley (24'), Bennett (45+1'), Mellish (48'), Farman (64')
Thomason (44'), Delfouneso (86'), Kioso (88')
Jones (22'), Kioso (50'), Thomason (81')
Kioso (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1BarrowBarrow7511113816
2Gillingham7511102816
3Walsall7502114715
4Notts County7421147714
5AFC Wimbledon641194513
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster7412119213
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe741277013
8Bradford CityBradford732297211
9Port Vale73221110111
10Chesterfield723210649
11Colchester UnitedColchester7232121029
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood62318719
13Salford City723246-29
14Grimsby Town7304912-39
15Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
16Newport CountyNewport73041015-59
17Bromley7214911-27
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham7214911-27
19MK Dons721469-37
20Harrogate TownHarrogate7214610-47
21Swindon TownSwindon7133710-36
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle7205814-66
23Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
24Morecambe7025510-52


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