League Two

League Two | Gameweek 26

Apr 13, 2021 at 7pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
0 - 0
Carlisle

Dolan (55')

Alessandra (24'), Mellish (70')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Carlisle United
34.04%	28.85%	37.11%

Both teams to score 45.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.62%

61.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.72%

81.27%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.24%

33.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.58%

70.42%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.25%

31.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.83%

68.17%

Score Analysis

Newport County 34.03%

Carlisle United 37.1%

Draw 28.84%

Newport County	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 7.25% 2-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.41% Total : 34.03%	1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 10.71% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.84%	0-1 @ 12.29% 1-2 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 7.06% 1-3 @ 2.93% 0-3 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.88% Total : 37.1%