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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 29
Mar 30, 2021 at 7pm UK
Brunton Park
Crawley Town

Carlisle
2 - 0
Crawley

Riley (17'), Patrick (33')
Guy (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

McNerney (66'), Craig (81')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Crawley Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawCrawley Town
40.31%27.29%32.4%
Both teams to score 49.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.03%55.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.93%77.07%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78%27.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36%62.63%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.92%32.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.45%68.55%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 40.31%
    Crawley Town 32.4%
    Draw 27.28%
Carlisle UnitedDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 11.36%
2-1 @ 8.41%
2-0 @ 7.39%
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 40.31%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.73%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 9.93%
1-2 @ 7.34%
0-2 @ 5.64%
1-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 32.4%

Head to Head
Nov 21, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 13
Crawley
0-3
Carlisle

Sesay (80')
Bennett (43'), Kayode (55'), Hayden (62')
Guy (78')
Feb 15, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 34
Crawley
0-0
Carlisle
Webster (35'), Anderton (66'), Hayden (85')
Aug 3, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 1
Carlisle
2-1
Crawley
McKirdy (6'), Scougall (32')
Webster (46'), Loft (94')
Lubula (16')
Camara (38'), Sesay (43')
Young (97')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 45
Carlisle
4-2
Crawley
Thomas (7', 9'), O'Hare (20'), Hope (31')
Nathaniel-George (44'), Gerrard (77' og.)
McNerney (21'), Dallison (93')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 23
Crawley
2-3
Carlisle
Poleon (8', 40')
Francomb (37'), Payne (57'), McNerney (62')
Yates (14'), Grainger (37' pen.), Sowerby (56')
Yates (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall31196659342563
2AFC Wimbledon30167743202355
3Bradford CityBradford31159740281254
4Notts County30158747291853
5Port Vale30141063932752
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster3115794539652
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe32121373631549
8Salford City3113993830848
9Grimsby Town31153134447-348
10Chesterfield301191049371242
11Bromley31101294140142
12Colchester UnitedColchester3091473530541
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham30118114043-341
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood301010103936340
15Newport CountyNewport31117134147-640
16MK Dons31116144444039
17Swindon TownSwindon32911124648-238
18BarrowBarrow31107143436-237
19Gillingham3097142633-734
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3296172642-1633
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3079143448-1430
22Tranmere RoversTranmere31610152249-2728
23Morecambe3175192948-1926
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3157192349-2622


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