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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
45.46% | 27.18% | 27.37% |
Both teams to score 47.39% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.57% | 57.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.76% | 78.24% |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.8% | 25.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.06% | 59.94% |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.36% | 36.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.58% | 73.43% |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
1-0 @ 12.72% 2-1 @ 8.81% 2-0 @ 8.77% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.27% Total : 45.45% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 9.23% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 9.27% 1-2 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 4.66% 1-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 1.84% Total : 27.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |