Exeter

3 - 2

Grimsby Town

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.