League Two

League Two | Gameweek 43

Apr 20, 2021 at 7pm UK

Blundell Park

Grimsby Town
0 - 3
Morecambe

Clifton (83')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Stockton (22'), Songo'o (28'), Waterfall (81' og.)

Coverage of the League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Morecambe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Morecambe
35.05%	26.87%	38.08%

Both teams to score 51.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.11%

53.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.65%

75.35%

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.7%

29.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.74%

65.26%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.51%

27.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.01%

62.99%

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 35.05%

Morecambe 38.07%

Draw 26.86%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 9.89% 2-1 @ 7.84% 2-0 @ 6.07% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.51% Total : 35.05%	1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.05% 2-2 @ 5.06% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 10.39% 1-2 @ 8.24% 0-2 @ 6.72% 1-3 @ 3.55% 0-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.15% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.02% Total : 38.07%